Federal Agricultural Valuation

AGM Stock  USD 149.46  24.58  14.12%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Federal Agricultural shows a prevailing Real Value of $192.15 per share. The current price of the firm is $149.46. Our model computes the value of Federal Agricultural from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 32.8 B, profit margin of 0.57 %, and Shares Outstanding of 9.37 M as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Federal Agricultural's valuation include:
Price Book
1.6093
Enterprise Value
32.8 B
Price Sales
5.0215
Forward PE
8.9686
Trailing PE
9.9225
Undervalued
Today
149.46
Please note that Federal Agricultural's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Federal Agricultural is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Federal Agricultural's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Federal stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Federal Agricultural Mortgage. Since Federal Agricultural is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Federal Stock. However, Federal Agricultural's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  149.46 Real  192.15 Target  226.67 Hype  148.63 Naive  147.68
The intrinsic value of Federal Agricultural's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Federal Agricultural's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
134.51
Downside
192.15
Real Value
194.51
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Federal Agricultural Mortgage helps investors to forecast how Federal stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Federal Agricultural more accurately as focusing exclusively on Federal Agricultural's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
4.684.694.70
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
146.27148.63150.99
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
3.633.874.10
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
206.27226.67251.60
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Federal Agricultural's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Federal Agricultural's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Federal Agricultural's closest peers.

Federal Agricultural Cash

619.17 Million

Federal Agricultural Total Value Analysis

Federal Agricultural Mortgage is presently forecasted to have company total value of 32.8 B with market capitalization of 1.9 B, debt of 30.82 B, and cash on hands of 1.02 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Federal Agricultural fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
32.8 B
1.9 B
30.82 B
1.02 B

Federal Agricultural Investor Information

About 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.61. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Federal Agricultural has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.82. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 17.54. The firm last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Federal Agricultural had 3:1 split on the 2nd of August 1999. Federal Agricultural Mortgage may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.150.14
Notably Up
Pretty Stable
Operating Income311.7 M296.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Federal Agricultural Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The recent return on assets of Federal suggests not a very effective usage of assets in February.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Federal Agricultural Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration Federal Agricultural's profitability measurements, Federal Agricultural's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average chance of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Federal Agricultural's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1992-03-31
Previous Quarter
55 M
Current Value
23 M
Quarterly Volatility
20.6 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Federal Agricultural's Gross Profit is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 21st of February 2026, Operating Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.15, while Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.15.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.230.2
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.150.14
Notably Up
Pretty Stable
Pretax Profit Margin0.150.1586
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
For Federal Agricultural profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Federal Agricultural to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Federal Agricultural utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Federal Agricultural's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Federal Agricultural over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Federal Agricultural Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Federal Agricultural is estimated to be 4.69 with future projections ranging from a low of 4.68 to a high of 4.7. Federal Agricultural's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 17.54. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Federal Agricultural Mortgage is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Federal Agricultural is projected to generate 4.69 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2026. Federal Agricultural earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Federal Agricultural EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Federal Agricultural's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Federal Agricultural, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Federal Agricultural Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Federal Agricultural's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Federal Agricultural is estimated to be 4.69 with the future projection ranging from a low of 4.68 to a high of 4.7. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Federal Agricultural Mortgage is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
4.68
Lowest
Expected EPS
4.69
4.70
Highest

Federal Agricultural Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Federal Agricultural's value are higher than the current market price of the Federal Agricultural stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Federal Agricultural is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Federal Agricultural's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2026Current EPS (TTM)
290.48%
0.0
4.69
17.54

Federal Agricultural Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Federal Agricultural is $1.9 Billion. The majority of Federal Agricultural Mortgage outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Federal Agricultural to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Federal Agricultural. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Federal Agricultural Mortgage as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please take into account that even companies with profitable outlook can generate negative future returns on their equity. If the true value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able generate positive returns on investment in the long run.

Federal Agricultural Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.61 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 182.49 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 377.95 M.

Federal Agricultural Past Distributions to stockholders

About Federal Agricultural Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federal Agricultural Mortgage. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Federal Agricultural based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Federal Agricultural's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Federal Agricultural's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Federal Agricultural. We calculate exposure to Federal Agricultural's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Federal Agricultural's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit418.2 M439.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.16  0.15 
Operating Profit Margin 0.14  0.15 
Net Profit Margin 0.11  0.08 
Gross Profit Margin 0.20  0.23 
Federal Agricultural's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Federal Agricultural's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Federal Agricultural can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Federal Agricultural represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Federal, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Federal Agricultural Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of the 21st of February 2026, Dividend Yield is likely to grow to 0.06, though Dividends Paid is likely to grow to (84.6 M). . As of the 21st of February 2026, Retained Earnings is likely to grow to about 1.1 B. Also, Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to grow to about 843.5 M
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-89 M-84.6 M
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.06 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.49  0.26 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.90  0.85 
There are various types of dividends Federal Agricultural can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Federal shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Federal Agricultural Mortgage directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Federal pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Federal Agricultural by the value of the dividends paid out.

Federal Agricultural Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Federal Agricultural does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.15
Forward Price Earnings8.9686

Federal Agricultural Current Valuation Indicators

Federal Agricultural's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Federal Agricultural's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Federal Agricultural, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Federal Agricultural's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Federal Agricultural's worth.
When determining whether Federal Agricultural is a strong investment it is important to analyze Federal Agricultural's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Federal Agricultural's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Federal Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Federal Agricultural Mortgage. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Will Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance sector continue expanding? Could Federal diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Federal Agricultural. If investors know Federal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Federal Agricultural data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.15
Dividend Share
5.9
Earnings Share
17.54
Revenue Per Share
34.633
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.111
Investors evaluate Federal Agricultural using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Federal Agricultural's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Federal Agricultural's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Federal Agricultural's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Federal Agricultural represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Federal Agricultural's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.